Two solutions for the end of August, one includes chance for rain.  Beforehand, here’s what to expect.  

 

Cooler, pleasant temperatures, with afternoon NW breezes, will be the story all this week, and possibly into the coming weekend.  It may warm up several degrees late in the week, but cool right back down as another push of marine air moves over the region.  Temps east side will trends seasonal.  NO RAIN.

 

As noted, next weekend should be pleasant, with morning marine cloud deck, esp over the Puget Sound.  We will not rule out a dust-buster shower for the far north of WA & southern BC. 

 

By Tue Aug 24, models build back a rather warm ridge of High pressure, so temps will return to the upper 80s, lower 90s for a few days in many west side locations.  However, another cooler pattern should return, yet again, by the last weekend of August.  This cool trough of Low pressure may be deep enough to generate a few SHOWERS, mainly over the Puget Sound, north.  Baby steps?  

 

Aug 30 - Sept 2.  Here’s where we get a split decision in the long-range outlook: an outlier model run hints at a “true” wet system moving in from the NW, to end the month with what some remember as RAIN; the other solutions rebuild that warm ridge again for a string of warm summer temps for this period.  Lots of time to learn which scenario Nature will select, but that’s what is charting right now.  

 

A quip from the ‘Net:  “Remember, if you lose a sock in the dryer, it comes back as a Tupperware lid that doesn’t fit any of your containers."

 

-Rufus

 

 

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Friday the 13th

 

Dry summer days remain in our forecast.  Another heat wave pattern (90s) may rebuild later next week, so enjoy the 'cool-down' mentioned below.  Mug time.

 

The current Heat Wave will subside a bit as the weekend unfolds.  A shift in the wind pattern will push fire smoke away from western valleys, but still brown the sky to our east. Temps will drop into the not-so-hot zone, still summer warmth though, with NW breezes.  Onshore flow will weaken later next week, so temps are likely to rebound into the 90s in many west side locations. 

 

Looks fairly warm-to-hot from Mon Aug 23 through Wed that next week.  Model runs suggest another cooler, onshore flow may kick-back in by Thu Aug 26, setting up a pleasant final weekend of August (drizzle along the coast).  Charts shift the Summer Pacific High a bit farther west, setting up our beloved onshore flow 'air conditioning'.  We’ll see.

 

Generally, there are no long-range solutions that hint at notable precip through the rest of August.  Drought conditions are serious. We are all tired of fires, smoke & dust.

 

For those keeping track, our giant pumpkin project continues here at Mennonite Village, Albany.  “The Pumpkinator” (the winning name), is now 405 pounds.  

 

“Some things not worth saying are now put into songs.”   No, our forecasts are not to be sung!

 

  

Well, another toaster week ahead, with temps likely running into triple digit range again, esp for portions of western OR & SW WA.  Iced Mug beverage time.

 

Hottest part of this week looks to be Wed-Sat, with Thu/Fri being the ‘oven' days.  It may be rather MUGGY by Thu/Fri, as well.  Agh.  Temps should cool down a few degrees by this coming Sunday, Aug 15.  An onshore flow will pick-up next Monday, cooling the region back down to reasonable.  Still dry.  

 

Week of Aug 16-20 is charting to be cooler, with a weak trough of cool air moving down the BC coast, then over the PNW early that week.  The Puget Sound will be the coolest area, but OR will get relief from the heat early in the week.  Breezy.  Temps should bump up a few degrees by week’s end.  In fact, the weekend of Aug 21,22 may end up on the hot side, esp for OR & eastern WA.  The overall wind pattern may set up the last full week of August to be pleasant and, yes, dry.  

 

Perseus Meteor Shower:  Peaks this week, Aug 11,12,13 between midnight and dawn. Search for viewing direction & timing.  Moonlight should be minimal. 

 

 

 

As often happens, the model outlook for next week has changed since our last report.  Get your Mug ready.  Here goes - - -

 

Summer Relief: cool, pleasant weekend ahead, with some showers, mainly north of Portland.  Clouds & SW breezy, as well.  Temps will begin to ramp back up after the weekend.  Yes, the opposite of earlier expectations (sounds like ‘economics chatter’).  Temperatures next week will top out in the upper 90s or low 100s for portions of western OR, a tad cooler up north.  Still, a heat wave type pattern.  The hot pattern could extend through the following weekend, although temps should drop a few degrees from peak highs of Aug 11,12.  (Yes, Patrons in BC will experience some heat.)  Yikes.

 

Sunshine city & warm-to-hot Aug 9 through Aug 25.  Some days will be hotter than others, as the onshore flow will vary, as will smoke issues.  No chance for precip is charted from Monday through at least Wed Aug 25.  Let’s hope THAT outlook changes.  None of this is favorable for fire concerns.  Double Yikes.

 

 

 

It’s Monday already?  Oops, the actual day of the week didn’t ‘register' in my retirement head ’til just now.  Mug-sorry about that. 

 

Warm-to-hot conditions will hold through Wed, then a cooler air mass will begin working its way down the Alaskan Panhandle & BC coast to bring us the first chance for rain across a broad area of the PNW later Thu & Fri.  The system will not be a strong one, just enough to get forecasters to write about rainfall (0.10"-0.15”), at least from Chehalis north into southern BC.  A shower or two could dampen the pavement around Portland/Salem before the whole spinning Low drifts east later on Fri.  It will be cooler.

 

The cooler air mass will bring on a truly pleasant 1st full weekend for August 2021.  Temps will bump up from Fri, but not into the heat level we have been experiencing of late.  The somewhat cooler pattern will hold into the week of Aug 9-13, with increasing chance for precip from possible thunderstorms east of the Cascades, as a weak Low centers just west of the OR coast by Wed the 11th.  As stated, a rather stable pattern will hold off another heat-up for the PNW.  Expect pleasant, seasonal temps through the weekend of Aug 14,15.  Coastal winds may let up quite a bit during this period - - - will the kites fly?

 

Warm-up expected during the week of Aug 16-20, esp east of the Cascades, with a shift in the pattern favoring an offshore flow component.  We’ll see.

 

Again, pardon the tardiness.