Monday September 8
A real mix of wx coming up during the next 14 days, so be patient and you will likely get what you want. For now, grab your Mug, Patron.
The expected rain for today has been delayed several hours because the Low has stalled off the coast of southern OR / northern CA. It will spin to the NE, driving a decent amount of precipitation across primarily OR before Wed afternoon; some precip will fall under thunder & lightning. Temps will remain cool for early September. We still see the first couple of days of the Mt Angel Oktoberfest as dry & pleasant (O’Fest runs Thu - Sun, Sep 11-14).
The coming Sep 13,14 weekend continues to looks WET for Sat night through Sunday. Washington State should pick up more moisture from this system vs the current one. The O’Fest crowd will hope for another rain delay, like today’s (Sep 8).
Dry during the week of Sep 15-19, with a temperatures warming notably by late week (80s & low 90s). Two hurricanes may have US impact as the week ends - see below.
We see the weekend of Sep 20,21 as dry and warm.
Week of Sep 22-26: Fall Equinox occurs on Mon Sep 22. That day, as well as the rest of the week is trending dry and pleasantly warm.
🌀Tropical Topical: What happened to GABRIELLE (‘GAB’)? Well, a large portion of Saharan Dust rolled into the path of what was a developing hurricane (to be named ‘GAB’), and crushed the attributes needed for deepening. No Go. The name is likely to now be assigned to the next Atlantic/Caribbean system we are watching on the long-range charts - - this tropical storm may develop between west Cuba & the Yucatan Peninsula later next week, threatening landfall on one of the Gulf States around Sep 19,20. Stay tuned.
Eastern Pacific Action: KIKO will track north of the Hawaiian Islands, as it continues to weaken. ⚠️Another potential hurricane is likely to strengthen and be named LORENA (Lo-ray’-na) soon. Hurricane tracking is always quite variable, however, latest solutions track LORENA - as a powerful hurricane - to brush the southern CA coast as it weakens and actually makes landfall near Pt Conception KIKO will track north of the Hawaiian Islands, as it continues to weaken on Mon Sep 22. We do NOT place confidence in this particular solution, but either way, LORENA will kick-up very STRONG SURF along the southern CA coast; possibly damaging surf. (During my high school days in Ventura, we LOVED tropical storm waves - always the biggest of the year.) Anyway, moisture from this storm could work north into northern CA & the Bay area for quite a drenching.
“When success turns a person’s head, it leaves them looking in the wrong direction."
-Rufus
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