Good News

Posted by Rufus La Lone on

Monday October 17
There may be good weather news on the way.  Got your morn’n Mug ready?
Patrons that have ‘Mugged around’ this virtual Café for several years, will recall that often model solutions revert back to earlier forecast outlooks.  Well, that may be the good news today.  The long hoped for change to a wet, Fall pattern is back on the charts for this coming weekend, Oct 22,23.  Indeed.  Thursday & early Fri should mark be the transition into a cool, wet weekend.  Windy, too.  Beforehand, wx conditions will be smoky/hazy at times before an onshore flow picks up on Thu.  Temps will be moderate in the 70s.  The pacific High will shift farther west, opening the door for wet systems to FINALLY work into the PNW.  Rain should arrive late Friday (+/- a few hours); Sat will be wet, breezy and definitely cooler than what we have experienced this Fall.  
Sunday should be the ‘in between’ day, so expect sun breaks, scattered showers, coolness.  The second system will follow in a similar track, pushing into the region late Sunday for a wet start to next week.  Temps will be cooler yet.  Snow level will drop dramatically by Monday afternoon the 24th, so don’t be surprised to see The White if you travel to the east side.  Temperatures will be cold enough Thu morning east of the Cascades for the FIRST FROST, if the sky clears.  The Monday system will linger and drop into CA by mid-week (good news there, too).  Models are mixed for the middle of next week: could be damp or dry.  We will call it mostly dry Wed - Fri Oct 26-28 next week; fall cool.  
The last weekend of October is currently trending DAMP,  although a few model solutions hold off more rain until late Halloween.  The latest projection is for a disturbance to arrive Sat the 29th, which, if verified, would become the strongest storm yet this season -- bringing plenty of moderate-to-heavy rain, wind, and another step down in the temperature dept.  We’ll review this in our next report.
For now, let’s keep our Mugs ready for blessed, fire-damping RAIN to return to the PNW by the end of this week. 
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