It's On the Way

Posted by Rufus La Lone on

Good Friday 2023
There is an end in sight - as fair weather, with plenty of sunshine & Spring warmth will be here soon.  In the meantime, LOTS of rain & rapid snow melt.  We have our hot java ready, you?  
Damp on this Good Friday, with moisture tapering off as nightfall begins.  Sat should be damp again, repeating the Good Fri pattern of rain, showers, then drying out late day.  Easter Morning should be dry in most of the PNW, although the far north corner (Vancouver Is & US border area) may already be under the influence of the next storm.  By Sunday afternoon, expect rain - heavy at times -  to move in from the north, as a very wet system SLOWLY moves across the region.  Temps will be in the 50s, even at higher elevations, so all the snow in coast ranges and lower foothills of the Cascades will melt quickly as the warm rain falls.  Patrons along the usual flood-prone creeks & streams should remain alert.  The Nat’l Wx Service does not foresee flooding, but localized issues require close monitoring, as soils everywhere are already saturated.  Overnight Sunday into Monday will continue quite wet.  The storm will have cold air support on the backside, so snow levels will drop again to pass levels by Monday night.  
Next week will present cooler air again Mon, Tue & Wed, with a Low slowly spinning its way south along the OR coast.  The Low could spawn WINDY conditions for Oregon coastal communities, and briefly crank up a brisk E to NE wind through the Gaps later on Tue to early Wed.  Showery Tue, drying Wed, with a weak system possible on Thu Apr 13.  Now, the Good News.
On the Way.  Models are centering on a decent stretch of DRY, mild-to-warm weather beginning Fri Apr 14 and running through most of Tue, Apr 18.  “Tax weekend” is likely to bring us temperatures in the mid-60 to lower 70s region wide, so get those 1040s down ahead of time to enjoy a Spring Weekend.  For now, models hint at brief downturn late Tue into early Wed, Apr 18,19 before another stretch of DRY returns to finish the week.  
Earth Day weekend - Apr 22,23 - is trending wet, but mild, with a system moving in from the west.  The bulk of the rainfall may be over OR.  It could dry out again afterward.
Overall, there is a trend towards a much drier, warmer Spring pattern for the second half of April.  Let’s hope this verifies.
“A pat on the back, though only a few vertebrae removed for a kick in the pants, is miles ahead in results."
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