Simple Addition

What’s with the tag line this time?  Well, refill your Mug and get to reading - - - 

Enjoy the next 24 to 36 hours of pleasant weather.   We have another storm moving in this weekend; however, Patrons on Vancouver Island are likely to pick up some rain overnight Friday, then spreading over the Puget Sound region by Sat afternoon, and finally, covering the entire PNW - both sides of the Cascades & ID by early Sunday.  Breezy.  After a damp weekend, next week looks to start generally dry.

Monday - Wednesday, Oct 20-22.  Overall, mostly dry & mild (temps in upper 50s or lower 60s) for the first 3 days of next week.  However, a weak shot of showers could cross Vancouver Is. and the northern section of the Puget Sound overnight Monday into early Tue.  For those counting:  that’s 4 or 5 days of DRY from now until Oct 22.  A large scale pattern shift will take place starting overnight next Wed, Oct 22.  Sip.

Currently, the number of Pacific storms on the charts to move into the PNW from next Wed night through Sunday Nov 2 adds up to SEVEN.  Yep, the up coming wx pattern may develop into the classic Oct / Nov rainy season.  Be ready, as breaks between storms will be measured in hours, not days.  We also see the potential for 3 WIND PRODUCERS in the upcoming series of storms.  These windy storms will ’share-the-impact’ by individually hitting southern OR (Oct 26), then western OR (Oct 28), and NW WA (Oct 29).  We’ll monitor closely for verification, of course.  What about cumulative precipitation?  Projections are for a range of 3” to 6” in the western lowlands during the Oct 22 - Nov 2 period.  Leaf-fall will contribute to localized flooding, so help clear residential storm drains where it is safe to do so!

Bottom line:  Adding up all of the storms charting for the balance of Oct through early Nov, we get an answer of 8.  Seasonally normal rainfall.  

For The Weather Café®️, we have another 2 weeks to go before the last report.  In simple addition, that’s 4 more.  THANKS SO MUCH for all of the kind letters.  I am SO touched.