Monday November 21
The current long dry spell is nearing an end, although we do expect additional back-to-back days without rain in the near future. Hot java ready. Sip.
The next storm is on tap for tomorrow, Tuesday Nov 22. A quick shot of rain & wind moving in from north-to-south, heading to Vancouver Island around midnight, then pushing into NW WA by daybreak. The front should pack the strongest winds before noon Tue, esp for areas south of the Puget Sound into the Willamette Valley. This will not be a dangerous wind event, just rather blustery given the unusually calm, dry wx of late. By Wed, the event will be over, with clearing sky and dry conditions holding into early Fri. Yes, Thanksgiving Day will be DRY, with a gusty east wind out of the Columbia River Gorge for the Portland area (yep, no fog). Black Friday - a repeat play, with a relatively weak system moving in, north-to-south again so expect some precip mainly from Portland north; not too bad a day at all for much of western OR and east of the Cascades.
Post-Thanksgiving weekend, Nov 28 - Dec 2: pleasant, calm day on Saturday the 26th (maybe morning fog in the usual places), then another system moves in along the same path as the previous storms. This one will be weak in the PNW, but develop into a strong, news-maker storm for California Monday Nov 28th (then it makes big wind & snow in MT, WY). Around the PNW, temps will be chilly again, with frost overnight in most locations. Mixed model solutions for the last days of November. Some runs keeps the PNW damp, other on the dry, chilly side, with another system tracking into southern OR and CA mid-week. An E-NE outflow may develop out of the two Cascades Gaps - Fraser & Columbia - by late week. Again, other model charts suggest a stormy start for December (and week’s end), with a low elevation snow producer (above 1,000 ft) by Fri.
Let’s just hold off on a definitive early December forecast until after the big holiday. For now, we’ll Mug call to a rather dry, chilly start for the 12th month.
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