The Weather Cafe ® by Rufus

Written by Rufus La Lone since 1994.

Cool & Damp 1st Half

Posted by Rufus La Lone on

Friday February 28
Last call for the 2nd month of 2025.  What does early March hold for weather?  Let’s take a Mug ☕️ assisted gander.
The next couple of days will continue the delightful ’Spring tease’ pattern we have enjoyed this week.  Temps could pop into the 60s again (65 yesterday here at home base).  Precipitation will return overnight Saturday into Sunday —mostly over OR & possibly SW WA.  The cooler temps will get noticed Sunday.
Mon March 3 will be dry.  Not so on Tue, as additional moisture moves onshore in the afternoon; this system will wet western OR, WA & BC.  Showers decreasing Wed afternoon; cooler.  Looks dry on Thu, then more moisture arrives Fri to set up a mostly wet Mar 8,9 weekend (from Salem north to BC).  Expect rain to move in over Vancouver Is & southern BC first, drifting south overnight Fri.  Moderate-to-heavy rain for NW WA & BC.  Again, for now, model solutions limit the rainfall to just north of Salem early Sat, as the rain field shifts back north.  Looks like a short rain-break for much of Sunday Mar 9 (continued damp over NW WA/BC) before a cold, wet storm arrives overnight Sunday.
Week of Mar 10-14 is trending rather wet and notably colder!  Rain/snow mixed at the surface possible, but snow above 1,000-2,000 ft quite probable.  It could be quite WINDY Monday night, Mar 10!  Cold showers through early Thu, is our call for now.  Lots of mountain snow (although mostly in the US Cascades, so not much help with the snowpack in BC - at least this round).  Drier as the week ends (Mar 14), with a dry Mar 15,16 weekend possible, although on the chilly side.
Throughout the next couple of weeks, California will continue to receive on/off rain and mountain snow, with a ‘big’ storm on the 10th, esp for southern CA.
“It’s easier to fool people than to convince them that they have been fooled.” - Mark Twain
-Rufus

Copyright © 1994-2025 - All Rights Reserved - The Weather Café ®
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WIND storm before the Calm

Posted by Rufus La Lone on

Monday February 24
-- WIND ALERT --
One of the strongest wind storms of the season is developing right now off the coast of Oregon.  Low center pressure of ~980 mb is expected to cross ‘inside the 130’ this afternoon, west of Astoria.  It is modeled to track for a ‘landfall’ around the Juan de Fuca Strait approx. 8 pm this evening, as center pressure slowly fills.  WINDS will likely gusts higher than 45 mph in much of western OR & WA later today and tonight.  Given saturated soils, tree falls are probable, as will be power outages. BE PREPARED - this could be a newsmaker event.  Rain and showers overnight, as well, but a long stretch of DRY wx is right around the proverbial corner.  Mug up, Patron.
By late Tue afternoon, the stormy atmosphere will calm down, ushering in an extended period of generally DRY and mild - even warm - weather to run out the month of Feb. (Vancouver Island could get a quick shot of rain/showers Wed night.)
Saturday, Mar 1, this weekend is looks absolutely delightful!!  Temps in the high 50s to low 60s west side.  A quick shot of precipitation is possible on Sunday, mainly over OR south of Woodburn.  
DRY & mild through the week Mar 3-7, with temps running a tad cooler.  Foggy bottoms possible in the usual locations.
Weekend of Mar 8,9 should start out dry on Sat, then turning damp from north-to-south on Sunday, as another series of Pacific fronts move into the PNW for a few days on into the following week.  Cool, with mountain snow.
“In the 'good ole days', the man who saved money was a miser.  Now he’s a wonder."
-Rufus

Copyright © 1994-2025 - All Rights Reserved - The Weather Café ®
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Wx Moods

Posted by Rufus La Lone on

Friday February 21
Quite a swing in weather ‘moods’ ahead, so grab your Mug and read on to find out what in the world are we suggesting.
Moody weather as in heavy rain, warm sunny days, cold winter-like conditions, and yes, foggy bottoms.  Here’s the layout.
Stormy Mood.  Mild temps today, esp in western OR today, with some cloudiness.   Patrons around the Puget Sound north will get increased rainfall today.  ALL the PNW will be hit by moderate-to-heavy rainfall later Saturday on through Mon Feb 24.  WINDY at times!!  Temps will remain on the mild side, given the southerly flow.
Spring Fever Mood.  After Monday’s rain & wind, the moody wx will shift to DRY and quite mild.  Western OR may even top into the 60-63 degree range Thu & Fri, Feb 26,27.  Again, dry for all of Vancouver Island, southern BC, Puget Sound, OR, etc.  It will induce Spring fever.
Gloomy Mood.  The weekend of March 1,2 is looking DAMP, cloudy & cooler.  Kinda’ gloomy, breaking our Spring fever.  Drat.
Cold Shoulder Mood.  The week of Mar 3-7 will bring on more rain, showers and notably colder temps - a real downer for those seeking Spring.  Early in the week, temps will be chilly, but it will warm-up a few degrees as the first week of March 2025 nears an end.  Still wet, though.
That’s about it for the next couple of weeks.  A 'mood for all seasons’.  (Sorry, that was really bad.)
“Despite what cartoonists make him look like, Uncle Sam is a gentleman with a very large “waste”.
-Rufus

Copyright © 1994-2025 - All Rights Reserved - The Weather Café ®
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Damp & Mild

Posted by Rufus La Lone on

Monday February 17
Seasonal weather ahead.  Simply put: plenty of rain, mountain snow and, generally, mild temps.  A morning Mug always hits the spot.  Here’s a quick rundown for the rest of February’s wx and a possible cold start to March.
This Week:  Showers will diminish today, opening up a fairly dry break through most of Tue.  Tuesday night, steady rain returns.  NOTE: for Oregon patrons, we may experience a quick shot of HIGH WINDS this Wednesday afternoon.  Don’t be surprised to feel gusts over 35 mph in the afternoon to early evening period, primarily along the central OR coast and in the Willamette Valley roughly south of Portland.  Drier Thu and most of Fri.  Rather damp over western WA & BC late Fri.  Mild temps. 
Coming weekend:  More rain, but after a nice ‘warm’ mid-50s Saturday afternoon (western OR, SW WA).  Moderate steady rain Sat night, all day Sunday into nighttime.  Breezy.
Week of Feb 24-28:  Trending wet Mon, Tue -> turning cooler.  Wed dry & cool; Thu dry early, turning wet mainly over the Puget Sound area, but it should be wet from Portland north.  Dry elsewhere.  Temps remain cool.  
First weekend of March 2025:  Looks damp and turning COLDER on Sunday, as a cold air mass moves in off the eastern Pacific.  Snow levels will lower dramatically, even into the coast range. Strong, cold onshore winds, as a surface Low moves into northern CA.  
Mar 3-7: Interesting possibilities.  A Yukon Dome of high pressure at 1054-1056 mb may develop, opening the door for a cold, frosty week.  We will monitor closely.  It’s not uncommon to have a cold air mass lingering around the PNW in early March - with low snow levels (1,500-3,000 ft), rain/snow mixed at the surface, along with hail and heavy showers.  Soils will chill down again.  
“It’s easy to tell when you’ve got a bargain - it doesn’t fit."
-Rufus

Copyright © 1994-2025 - All Rights Reserved - The Weather Café ®
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Going Normal

Posted by Rufus La Lone on

🌹 Valentine’s Day 2025
The PNW is just about done with subfreezing temps, snow, freezing rain, sleet — Winter.  Normal, relatively mild temps, with periods of rain and mountain snow, should round out the rest of February.  Mug up.
Snow & freezing rain issues this morning across the region.  By Valentine’s Day afternoon, temps will begin to moderate, melting the ice and slowly allowing a return to normal outdoor activity.  The usual cold spots will be slower to moderate -- Columbia Gorge, the far NW corner of WA and eastern basins.  Saturday should be mostly dry until late day, when the leading edge of a Pacific system - RAIN - moves onshore overnight into Sunday.  Moderate temps.
Next week is trending wet, with a series of Pacific storms moving onshore, spaced apart by merely a few hours.  Tue looks to be the drier of the 5 work days next week.  
The weekend of Feb 22,23 no longer charts as dry & mild; rather, it looks wet, esp for western WA & southern BC.  South of Eugene should remain mostly dry that weekend.  
Week of Feb 24-28 looks mostly dry after Monday, with Wed likely to be quite mild.  Southern OR could get some showers Thu from a system wetting northern CA.  We see RAIN returning late Fri Feb 28 to end the month.  March looks to start out wet.
“The most sensitive nerve in the body seems to be the one that runs to the pocketbook."
-Rufus

Copyright © 1994-2025 - All Rights Reserved - The Weather Café ®
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