The WxCafe™

Classic Summer Pattern

Posted by Rufus La Lone on July 18, 2025

Friday July 18

Another summer work-week has zipped by. No change in the overall wx outlook for the balance of July. We will still Mug up to The WxCafé™️ counter.

☕️Ready?

Definitely a pleasant wx weekend, with some morning marine clouds around the Puget Sound region. Highs in the 80s most places, maybe a few hitting 90 today in OR & east side.
Slowly heating up again next week, July 12-25. Temps may reach into the low 90s late week, however, most charts top afternoon highs out around 8; cooler around the Sound, per normal. We pick Thu as the warmest day.
July 26,27 weekend: looks to be a repeat of the previous weekend -> temps cooling down a few degrees. Pleasant across the entire PNW.
Week of July 28 - Aug 1st: copy-cat week - trending to mirror the previous week. Seasonal temps, no extreme heat is forecast at this time. Classic summer afternoons around the entire PNW.
1st weekend of August: trending mild, with an onshore flow holding down regional temps. A morning marine cloud deck in the interior valleys is possible.

🔺 No rain from now through at least Aug 3.

“ ‘Fairness' means someone else is deciding for you what is ‘fair’. ‘Freedom' means that YOU get to make that decision.” -Milton Friedman, Noble Laureate

-Rufus

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Dry July

Posted by Rufus La Lone on July 14, 2025

Monday July 14

It looks dry for the rest of July, with temperatures being the key wx feature to forecast, so let’s give it a ‘go’.

This week, July 14-18: Today will be several degrees cooler than yesterday’s heat (Albany topped out at 98). Tue ramps temps up again, as will Wed & Thu - both of which are likely to reach high 90s or even lower 100s. Friday should moderate down a few degrees, much like today, the 14th.
Coming weekend, July 19,20: Notably cooler, with Nature’s air conditioning (an onshore flow) tapping temps down into the typical July range.
Next week, July 21-25: Indications are for the first couple days of the week to be warm-to-hot week, followed by moderating temps with an onshore flow kicking up. There could be showers over southern BC and Beliingham area late Tue night, July 22, other than that ‘maybe’ threat, no precip is expected regionally.
July 26,27 weekend: trending dry & warm.
Final days of the month: dry & warm.

That’s about it. Don’t let up on watering.

From the ’Net: “So technically, Moses is the first man to download from the cloud using a tablet."

-Rufus

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Shade Hunters

Posted by Rufus La Lone on July 11, 2025

Friday July 11

Shade what? Read on.

H O T pattern setting up around the PNW, with temps likely to exceed 100 degrees in many west side locations later this week. Everyone will be hunting for SHADE to provide relief. Forecasters are speaking out about the heat to protect lives - - this level of heat can kill - - so don’t ignore the warnings & methods to protect yourself and neighbors that may not have air conditioning. Enough parenting. Here’s the scoop:

This weekend temps will reach upper 80s to lower 90s, possibly 95; a few degrees cooler around the Puget Sound, but still hot. Sunday likely the hottest. WINDY afternoons.
Next week: Mon could be a few degrees cooler than Sunday, but that will just be a short heat break. As the week progresses, triple-digits likely Wed & Thu - quite possibly could reach 103-105 in western OR. Offshore air flow. Warm nights, too. Mid-level moisture may work north along the Cascades Thu evening - thunderstorms? FIRE issues will be elevated, for sure. Turning a bit cooler on Friday the 18th.
July 19,20 weekend: not quite so hot, but still temps should climb into the upper 80s in many locations with a bit of onshore flow.
Week of July 21-25: trending broadly in the mid-80s with Wed likely the hottest day of the week. Cooling late week with a push on onshore flow and much cooler air.
Weekend of July 26,27: turning warmer, with chance for 90+ temps setting up for the following week. Too early to peg.

California temps will also be HOT, with Big Valley reaching 105-110 at times. Shade Hunters.

“Nothing wrong ever happens at the right time.”

-Rufus

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A Dry July

Posted by Rufus La Lone on July 07, 2025

Monday July 7

As expected, the long holiday weekend was delightful. Time to head into the heart of Summer. Our 'bullet list’ format has been popular, so we’ll continue that forecast approach for awhile. Mug up time.

This week, July 7-11: upper 80s to lower 90s today & tomorrow. Cooler with some clouds & a threat for a light shower mainly over the Puget Sound north; slow warming again starting Thu - pleasant. Friday will heat up again.
Weekend of July 12,13: temps ramp up to match Fri, so expect temps to be in the 80s to 90s in most locations.
Week of July 14-18: trending to be warmer than the previous weekend, with temps running in the upper 80s to mid-90s; possible triple-digit temps in portions of southern OR on Thu the 17th. Beginning a short cooler period on Fri.
July 19,20 weekend: onshore flow will help tap down temps. Continued dry.
Week of July 21-25: quite possibly the HOTTEST days of the Summer thus far. Triple-digit possible in many west side locations.

Bottom line: DRY pattern through at least the 26th; excluding a ‘maybe shower’ around the Sound this Wed. Harvest Season on!

“Some people have photographic memories - always negative."

-Rufus

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A Shift

Posted by Rufus La Lone on July 04, 2025

4th of July 2025

Quick update, as models have shifted the outlook for the next 2 weeks, maybe.

Holiday Weekend: mild temps, with warming each day; showers over eastern basins because of Low moving across SE corner of OR thru ID today only. Sunday will turn rather warm, leading into - - -
Week of July 7-11: HOT Mon & Tue; cooler on Wed with a Low brushing past NW WA & BC - a Puget Sound shower is possible. Temps begin to bump up again starting Thu the 10th, on into the weekend.
July 12-13 weekend: high temps range from 80s to mid 90s probable in most locations, excluding coastal zones. Breezy afternoons. Sunday late a damp front may begin to push inland from the NW. This is iffy right now, we’ll monitor.
Week of July 14-18: indications are for a cooler week, in general, than typical July conditions; not bad for growers & small fruit harvest. It will be mild, with warmest days mid-week.
July 19-20 weekend: turning hot again.

Forecast changes are to be expected, so keep your Mug handy & enjoy the 4th!

From the ’Net: “Biting your tongue while eating is a perfect example of how you can still screw up even with decades of experience."

-Rufus

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