The Weather Cafe ® by Rufus

Written by Rufus La Lone since 1994.

Sing'n in the . . .

Posted by Rufus La Lone on

The Ides of March 2024
The next 4 days will have you “Sing’n in the sunshine”.  Broadly speaking, and depending on location, should we garner 3 or more days of 70+ degree temps, it will be the longest stretch of such temps in March since 2005 - nineteen years ago.  Lucky! 
Sunshine and warm afternoons on tab now through Monday.  It still looks mild & dry Tue, however, models suggest a cold trough may move in from the NW overnight Tue into Wed Mar 20 - the Spring Equinox.  The coolness may also produce a shower or two, esp over the Puget Sound region.  For now, we’ll go with a cooling off period Wed & Thu next week before a moderately damp period returns to both end the week and the month.
Showers return across the PNW during the Mar 23,24 weekend.  New foliage will get wet; soil temps will drop.  Although not quite as cold, the chilly wx of early March is charting to return during the last week of the month.  It looks wet Mon through Thu, Mar 25-28.  FROST possible Fri and / or Sat morning, Mar 29,30 if the sky clears in your area.  
California will again receive rainfall during the Mar 23,24 weekend and on through the following week.  We do not see flooding issues, just more rain & mountain snow.
☘️ Enjoy St Patrick’s Day weekend while sing’n in the sunshine.
“Smiles never go up in price nor down in value.”  
-Rufus
Copyright © 1994-2024 - All Rights Reserved - The Weather Café ®
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Almost Here

Posted by Rufus La Lone on

Monday March 11
That’s right, an extended mild-to-warm dry weather pattern is almost here.  We are ready.  You?
Chilly, wet & windy pattern will move in today and hold on through Tue.  Then — dry, sunny days will begin by Wednesday, with warming on into the coming weekend.  Our much anticipated dry cycle will bless the PNW with some of the warmest temperatures since last fall.  The weekend could present temps in the upper 60s to low 70s all the way up & down the PNW.  A blessed St Patrick’s Day, for sure.
Next week will continue to be dry, with a cool down possible by mid-week, lasting through Fri Mar 22.  There will be a cold Low moving south off the coast of OR & WA, which will push a few clouds inland and cool temps down.  Right now, we do not see drenching rain issues during the weekend of Mar 23,24, but the dry pattern will begin to break down that weekend.  
Models hint at a return to BELOW normal temperatures and rain/showers/mountain snow as the last several days of March arrive.  Will this verify?  Will March end like a Lion (just like it started) and not a Lamb?  For now, plan on wet weather returning after the 24th and hope a change for the better will take place instead.  Time to work the land and set up those garden plots.
☘️ In the meantime, take full advantage of an amazing stretch of delightful weather coming to a sky near you starting Wednesday March 13.
“It’s not the coffee that keeps people awake these days, but the price of it."
-Rufus
Copyright © 1994-2024 - All Rights Reserved - The Weather Café ®
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Exuberant

Posted by Rufus La Lone on

Friday March 8
We love it when wx models revert back to their earlier projections.  Such is the case forming the basis of this forecast.  Get your Mug ready, there’s good news.
A chilly, damp weekend is upon us, with rain moving in later tonight (north-to-south) and tomorrow.  Snow in the mountains, where we like it, and cold showers at the surface throughout the weekend.  Monday will present another round of rain & subsequent showers.  Breezy at times.
🌼 🌸 🪴 Beginning Tue Mar 12, clearing will begin from the north, with the start of a much-needed DRY SPELL that is charting to last well over a WEEK begins.  Indeed.  Temperatures will also be mild-to-warm, notching up a few degrees throughout the period.  People, plants, animals, and well, whatever, will all be exuberant.  The dry period will last long enough to allow soils to dry-down for growers & gardeners to work the land in prep for plantings, fertilizing, etc.  Early Spring blossoms will explode with color; trees will leaf-out; lawns will get mowed.  Coats put away.  Alright, admittedly, your host is getting a bit too carried away.  It is justified, if the models verify.  
Key Point: after Tue Mar 12, the dry pattern should extend past the first day of Spring (Wed Mar 20) and hold into Fri Mar 22.  Temps will work into the high 50s, then the 60s, and possibly the low 70s, esp southern OR.
St Patrick’s Day is now trending dry & pleasantly warm.  All the green will be spring growth.  Naturally.
The weekend of Mar 23,24 is trending wet, with mild temperatures.  
We all know these wx outlooks are subject to change, but for now, let’s be ready for an exuberant start to Spring 2024. 
“Happiness is like your shadow.  Run after it and you will never catch it, but keep your face to the sun and it will follow you.”  
-Rufus
Copyright © 1994-2024 - All Rights Reserved - The Weather Café ®
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Cool

Posted by Rufus La Lone on

Monday March 4
So many places around the PNW experienced a bit of The White as March 2024 got started.  While we see a few warmer days on the charts, there are indications that the balance of ‘winter’ will remain on the chilly side.  The Spring Equinox is March 20.  Mug time is now.  
Chilly days this week, with the good news being that the moisture will slowly diminish, yielding crisp (hopefully sunny) afternoons mid-week.  Showers will slowly fade away, north-to-south, over the next 24 hrs.  Frosty mornings possible Wed & Thu, if the sky clears in your location.  Dry, except for a swath across southern OR on into ID, Tue through Fri.  Vancouver Is may get some cloudiness Fri.
The coming weekend will present more rain and warmer temps, with a southerly flow, as a cold front stretches out along the west coast, slowly moving onshore over BC and WA first on Sat, OR and east late Sunday.  The new round of colder air pooling over the eastern Pacific will work its way onshore, similar to last week, for increasing rain/showers and snow levels dropping below the passes.  While this event does not chart as cold as the last, it will be cold enough aloft for development of intense showers, possible small hail, and the need for a coat Mon - Wed, Mar 11-13.  What was earlier looking to be a warmer, multi-day dry spell late next week, is now looking rather damp, but still warmer.  A sunny day or two remains on the charts Fri & Sat, Mar 15,16, before COLD rain returns on St Patty’s Day.  
The week of Mar 18-22 is trending damp early, cool, then, SPRING-like mild for a couple days, starting with Spring Equinox.  We’ll see.
California will DRY OUT starting Wed Mar 13.  The dry weather should hold in the Golden State through at least Mar 22.  Seasonably warmer, which will help with Almond pollination.
“You hear a good many echoes in the world but mighty few real voices."
-Rufus
Copyright © 1994-2024 - All Rights Reserved - The Weather Café ®
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A Cold Lion

Posted by Rufus La Lone on

Friday March First
That’s right, March is coming in like a Lion - a COLD Lion.  Our long-range outlook does show promise of a warmer, drier run of a few days, but in the meantime, What You See Is What You Get.  Best to get your Mug refilled.
Snow and rain/snow mixed is the type of precip ahead for the next few days.  Many ‘sea level’ location Patrons have reported sticking snow at times (remember, our general forecasts cover southern BC down to northern CA).  It melts fast, as the ground is relatively warm.  Afternoon temps will chill down another few degrees this weekend, as the ‘core’ of that cold air mass driving the current on/off showers moves overhead.  One only need to move up in elevation a few hundred feet to get ALL SNOW.  Accumulations above 1,000 ft are already impressive, and will continue to build through Monday evening, Mar 4.  Thus, expect plenty of precip through the weekend and Monday.
We do see a ‘window' of DRY this coming Tue & Wed Mar 5,6 around the PNW, as most of the storm action targets California.  Two days with chilly temps, but at least we may stop the rain/snow for bit.  Frosty, if the sky clears.  By Thu Mar 7, the cold, wet pattern returns - a repeat, if you will - with more cold air pooled in a large trough (Low pressure) over the Gulf of Alaska/eastern Pacific.  Next weekend, Mar 9,10, is trending to mirror the current one, so don’t expect Spring to arrive just yet.  Chilly, with on/off rain or snow/rain showers, and snow above 500-1,000 ft.
The wet pattern continues to start the week of Mar 11-15.  Temps will slowly notch up a few degrees as the week progresses.  Wet Mon, Tue, most of Wed.  Good news, though.  Model runs suggest a relatively WARM ridge of High pressure building over the west coast beginning Thu Mar 14.  The dry, mild period could last past the Ides of March (Fri the 15th) on into St Patty’s Day weekend.  Temps could tease the 60s, esp along the coast.  Let’s hope this break in the wet weather arrives, as the entire west coast will absolutely NEED to dry out.  The snowpack along all the west coast mountain ranges will be exceptional.
“The height of efficiency is reached in a calm and confident spirit."
-Rufus
Copyright © 1994-2024 - All Rights Reserved - The Weather Café ®
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