The Weather Cafe ® by Rufus

Written by Rufus La Lone since 1994.

Extended Heat Possible

Posted by Rufus La Lone on

Friday July 22
 
Word is out on the heat wave about to arrive.  What is uncertain is the number of consecutive days with temps above 90 degrees.  Let us 'Mug through' the possibilities, shall we?
 
Pleasant temperatures today & Saturday.  Heat will begin to build into the PNW starting Sunday, with each day next week likely above 90 in many locations around the PNW.  Onshore flow will be minimal, so overnight low temps will end up being rather uncomfortable for those without air conditioning as the week progresses.  HOTTEST days could be Wed & Thu, with the Willamette Valley and SW WA topping into triple-digits.
 
We see the potential for the coming heat wave to last 5-6 days, which is longer than classic 3 days.  This will depend on how much onshore flow develops NEXT weekend.  If the marine ‘air conditioning' is nominal, temps will remain 90+ in many west side locations through Saturday July 30 or even Sunday.  Triple-digit temps are possible 3 days in a row in the Willamette Valley; longer in the usual hot southern OR zone, and east side.  
 
This heat cycle will NOT be anywhere near the extreme heat experienced the end of June 2021; still, please be neighborly - keep an eye on the elderly in your area - make sure they are keeping cool.  Remember, hundreds passed away in the PNW from the horrible heat last year, mostly seniors living alone without AC.
 
Early August is looking quite normal - temps in the upper 80s to lower 90s, with a cooler day thrown in here & there.  No rain.  Even the risk for mountain thunderstorms is low on the charts (for now).
 
—> Mind that water source for your animals, both pets and livestock.
 
“A grandmother is a baby-sitter who watches kids instead of TV."
 
-Rufus
 
 
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Heat Wave Possible

Posted by Rufus La Lone on

Monday July 18
 
The biggest change from our last report is that HOT conditions may arrive a few days early.   In the meantime, refill your morning Mug, and get your morning started.
 
Temperatures will pop up 5-10 degrees early this week - depending on your location - relative to yesterday, before ‘cooling' back into the 70s & 80s by Thu.  Winds will be gusty, at times, in the afternoons.  A pleasant summer weekend lies ahead, as well.   
 
The change to HOT looks to come next week.  HOT temperatures developing over NV & UT will expand into the PNW by sometime Tue or Wed July 26,27.  (For newer Patrons sipping a bev, we loosely define hot as 95 - 100+ degrees F.)  We are likely to experience triple-digit temperatures in portions of the Willamette Valley at some point later next week.  Temps in the 90s probable in portions of the Puget Sound, as well; should be a bit cooler along the Canadian border.  Fire danger will be HIGH, so please use caution.
 
The weekend of July 30,31 should be a turning point back to cooler conditions.  An onshore flow will return, with that blessed marine influence holding down temps.    For now, early Aug looks warm as the month gets underway.  
 
Water up, esp if you are heading away on vacation.  Overall, the heat wave will probably run 3-4 days west side, a bit longer east of the Cascades.  Southern OR (Medford area) could have 5 consecutive days at or above 100.  —> We should mention that often model projections ‘return’ to earlier solutions, so the general heat-up discussed above could be pushed back a few days.  Either way, we do foresee the potential for the hottest temps of 2022 - to date - arriving as July nears an end and August begins
 
“The smaller the idea, the bigger the words used to express it."
 
-Rufus
 
 
Copyright © 1994-2022 - All Rights Reserved - The Weather Café ®
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On A Roll

Posted by Rufus La Lone on

Friday July 15

 
Summer rolls on, so too does a steady weather pattern.  Brief update this morning.  Sip on.
 
Onshore flow will remain the key factor in holding temperatures down below HOT for the next couple of weeks.  Yes, there will be a day or two, here-&-there, of rather hot afternoons, but right now, we do not foresee a major heat wave on the horizon.
 
After a relatively cool weekend, temps will ramp up a bit early next week, as that onshore flow weakens, then drop back down a few degrees late week.  The weekend of July 23,24 is trending pleasant.  The last week of the month is trending on the cool side, with a Low pressure trough setting up just offshore.  
 
We do see hints of a rather warm period arriving as July ends.  Stay tuned on this, as temps could again pop into the triple digit range.  Not unusual for mid-summer.
 
Last week, a Patron’s daughter captured the image below of a stunning cloud in New Mexico.  Enjoy your weekend.
 
“Average is simply the best of the poorest and the poorest of the best.”
 
-Rufus
 
 
 
Copyright © 1994-2022 - All Rights Reserved - The Weather Café ®
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Pleasant July

Posted by Rufus La Lone on

Monday July 11
 
All on tap for a pleasant couple of weeks in July.  Iced beverage in your Mug?
 
Toasty today, less so tomorrow (12th).  Temperatures will cool down notably by Wednesday, with onshore breezes providing pleasant afternoons across the PNW.  This coming weekend will be fine, as well. 
 
Next week, we can expect plenty of sunshine with temperatures moving up a few degrees, relative to the weekend.  Great camping/swimming weather again next Tue - Thu July 19-21, with temps in the upper 80s possible in many west side locations.  Onshore breezes will increase on Fri the 22nd (showers possible over portions of Vancouver Is.), with a mild July 23,24 weekend on the charts.
 
The last week of the month is trending dry & warm over OR & ID, with a cooler temps and a mix of clouds & sun over the Puget Sound north, as a Low plants itself north of Vancouver Is. for a few days.  
 
Overall, no rain is forecast for the next 2 weeks.  
 
“A politician has what it takes to take what you’ve got."
 
-Rufus
 
 
Copyright © 1994-2022 - All Rights Reserved - The Weather Café ®
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Two Day Exception

Posted by Rufus La Lone on

Friday July 8
 
Greetings Patron.  Steady wx pattern ahead, with a couple relatively warm days to start next week.  Mug ready?
 
An overall pattern of onshore flow - with morning marine cloud deck, that burns off by the afternoon in most locations - will be the main feature of our DRY weather for the next 16 days (through Sunday July 24, at least).  For the Puget Sound area north, temperatures will run close to normal, depending on the persistence of the marine cloud deck; for OR, temps will run a bit below normal for much of the remainder of July.  A short exception to all that will arrive on Monday. 
 
Warm-to-Hot conditions to start next week.  90s on Monday, upper 80s Tue for western OR; 5-8 degrees cooler than that for the Puget Sound, north.  Cools back down rapidly by sunrise Wed the 13th.
 
There is the chance for wandering showers or drizzle over the far NW corner of WA & southern BC the weekend of July 16,17.  (Models suggest a rather WET eastern WA period on Jun 18, so too, for the eastern slopes of the North WA Cascades on into BC.)
 
An Internet Quip from a roadside sign - “The inventor of autocorrect died.  The funnel will be held tomato.”  
 
In joy the whether,
 
-Rufus
 
 
Copyright © 1994-2022 - All Rights Reserved - The Weather Café ®
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