The Weather Cafe ® by Rufus

Written by Rufus La Lone since 1994.

Pleasant July

Posted by Rufus La Lone on

Monday July 11
 
All on tap for a pleasant couple of weeks in July.  Iced beverage in your Mug?
 
Toasty today, less so tomorrow (12th).  Temperatures will cool down notably by Wednesday, with onshore breezes providing pleasant afternoons across the PNW.  This coming weekend will be fine, as well. 
 
Next week, we can expect plenty of sunshine with temperatures moving up a few degrees, relative to the weekend.  Great camping/swimming weather again next Tue - Thu July 19-21, with temps in the upper 80s possible in many west side locations.  Onshore breezes will increase on Fri the 22nd (showers possible over portions of Vancouver Is.), with a mild July 23,24 weekend on the charts.
 
The last week of the month is trending dry & warm over OR & ID, with a cooler temps and a mix of clouds & sun over the Puget Sound north, as a Low plants itself north of Vancouver Is. for a few days.  
 
Overall, no rain is forecast for the next 2 weeks.  
 
“A politician has what it takes to take what you’ve got."
 
-Rufus
 
 
Copyright © 1994-2022 - All Rights Reserved - The Weather Café ®
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Two Day Exception

Posted by Rufus La Lone on

Friday July 8
 
Greetings Patron.  Steady wx pattern ahead, with a couple relatively warm days to start next week.  Mug ready?
 
An overall pattern of onshore flow - with morning marine cloud deck, that burns off by the afternoon in most locations - will be the main feature of our DRY weather for the next 16 days (through Sunday July 24, at least).  For the Puget Sound area north, temperatures will run close to normal, depending on the persistence of the marine cloud deck; for OR, temps will run a bit below normal for much of the remainder of July.  A short exception to all that will arrive on Monday. 
 
Warm-to-Hot conditions to start next week.  90s on Monday, upper 80s Tue for western OR; 5-8 degrees cooler than that for the Puget Sound, north.  Cools back down rapidly by sunrise Wed the 13th.
 
There is the chance for wandering showers or drizzle over the far NW corner of WA & southern BC the weekend of July 16,17.  (Models suggest a rather WET eastern WA period on Jun 18, so too, for the eastern slopes of the North WA Cascades on into BC.)
 
An Internet Quip from a roadside sign - “The inventor of autocorrect died.  The funnel will be held tomato.”  
 
In joy the whether,
 
-Rufus
 
 
Copyright © 1994-2022 - All Rights Reserved - The Weather Café ®
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Holiday Peek Ahead

Posted by Rufus La Lone on

4th of July 2022
 
Brief holiday update.  
 
Our cool 2022 pattern will remain the overall rule for the next 16 days.  That said, 'summer heat’ will return - only for a couple of days - but you’ll have to wait until next Monday.  In the meantime, a cool onshore breeze will predominate the PNW until then.  The short heat-up next Mon & Tue July 11,12 should present temps in the 90s in portions of western OR; 80s around the Puget Sound, maybe a 90+ here & there.  HOT in California.  Toasty east side, per usual.
 
Back to the onshore air conditioner by Wed July 13 on through that weekend.  The week of July 18-22 is trending on the mild side.   
 
Enjoy the holiday.
 
-Rufus
 
 
Copyright © 1994-2022 - All Rights Reserved - The Weather Café ®
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Cool Running

Posted by Rufus La Lone on

Friday July 1
 
The classic holiday weekend has arrived.  The weather will be ’so so’, depending on your location.  Here’s our take.
 
Mild conditions will continue today & Saturday.  After the morning clouds burn off, the sun will warm us into the 70s & lower 80s.  A weak trough of Low pressure will set up off the southern OR coast, and as such, will trigger mountain showers & thunderstorms, moving up from the south.  Most of the showers will be confined to the Cascades (campers be prepared); however, a few are possible west side Sunday / Monday.  Overall, a mostly dry weekend.  Temperatures will cool down on Sunday & on the 4th.  Have a sweater handy for firework displays.  Patrons in the far NW corner of WA and southern BC should get a bit more rainfall, although the heavy downpours depicted on the charts earlier are less likely.  Not perfect holiday wx, but far better than some in the past.
 
Next week will also be mild with an onshore breeze returning late in the period.  The weekend of July 8,9 looks dry & unseasonably COOL, as the onshore breeze picks up another notch along with a weak trough moving overhead.  
 
Short Heat Up: the next warm-to-hot period is charting for 2 days, Mon & Tue July 11,12.  Not as hot as the last heat period, but the warmest since.  No worries, as temps will drop back down again by Wed the 13th, when yet another marine push of onshore breezes return.  That cool July pattern will hold on through the weekend of July 16,17.  
 
One reason the onshore flows are tapping down temps so much this summer is because the sea surface temperatures in the Eastern Pacific are below normal.  Air flowing across that coolness keep the PNW, esp west side, very mild.  
 
From the ’net: “I grew up with Steve Jobs, Johnny Cash, and Bob Hope.  Now there are no jobs, no cash, and no hope.”   A bit too pessimistic, but a decent giggle line.  
 
Enjoy the holiday.  There will be an update here on Monday the 4th.
 
-Rufus
 
 
Copyright © 1994-2022 - All Rights Reserved - The Weather Café ®
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Mild July Start

Posted by Rufus La Lone on

Monday June 27
 
(Limited connectivity last week while your host was on The Metolius River; hence we missed last Friday’s update opportunity.)  Lots of dry weather ahead, along with the threat for rain/mountain showers late in the holiday weekend ahead.  Mug ready?
 
West side, the current heat event will end Tue, with Patrons east of the Cascades getting another day or two of heat.  It will be seasonally pleasant for the balance of the week, as the holiday weekend approaches.  
 
The 4th of July weekend should start out pleasant, dry.  We are monitoring the future position of a weak Low pressure trough that may set up west of the southern OR coast.  If this develops, expect increased humidity, mountain showers & thunderstorms to form over the OR cascades on Sunday, July 3 - FIRE WATCH, then work their way north into WA on the 4th.  In fact, some model solutions indicate a very WET slap of rain/storms for the Abbotsford/Lynden area by Tue the 5th, or sooner.  That Low may remain far enough off the coast to have limited impact on the region, so we’ll update this Friday, July 1st.
 
After the holiday, expect temps to remain mild for July, with increasing chance for clouds and drizzle/light showers over the north Puget Sound area by Thu/Fri July 7,8; OR & ID will remain dry.   Concurrently, HEAT will rocket up over southern CA, enough to make the news with possible brown-outs, given their energy issues.  That same heat dome will expand into the Rocky Mtns and eventually portions of the Plains as the second weekend of July gets underway.  Denver could hit record high temps.  The monsoons may get an early start over the desert SW, as well.
 
The PNW's next short ‘warm-up’ may develop around July 10-12.  Early yet, but between now and then, temperatures should remain seasonal, or a bit below average for NW WA & southern BC.  Overall, an onshore breeze will be the main source of natural air conditioning for the next couple of weeks.
 
“Funny how a dollar can look so big when you take it to church and so small when you take it to the supermarket."
 
-Rufus
 
 
Copyright © 1994-2022 - All Rights Reserved - The Weather Café ® 
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